abstract
Hot spot focusing
1. The spokesman of the Ministry of Commerce answered a reporter’s question on the inclusion of some China entities in the export control "entity list" by the US Department of Commerce.
A spokesman for the Ministry of Commerce answered a reporter’s question on the inclusion of some China entities in the export control "entity list" by the US Department of Commerce.
A reporter asked: On October 6, 2023, US Eastern Time, the US Department of Commerce announced that some Russian entities were included in the "list of entities" for export control. What is China’s comment on this?
A: China has noticed the relevant situation. In a short time, the United States once again listed some Russian enterprises in the "entity list" of export control on the grounds of so-called involvement in China. The United States has generalized national security, abused export control measures, and arbitrarily imposed unilateral sanctions and "long-arm jurisdiction" on China enterprises. This is a typical act of economic coercion and unilateralism, which China resolutely opposes.
The United States should immediately correct its wrong practices and stop its unreasonable suppression of China enterprises. China will take all necessary measures to resolutely safeguard the legitimate rights and interests of enterprises in China.
2. Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges: At this stage, the time for T+0 trading in the A-share market is not mature.
Relevant person in charge of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges answered questions from reporters. Q: Recently, it has been reported from the media that the trading hours of A shares will be extended after the holiday, and T+0 trading will be tried out on some stocks. How do you comment on this? A: We are concerned about the above rumors, and the relevant contents are not true. On August 18th this year, when answering a reporter’s question on activating the capital market and boosting investors’ confidence, the relevant person in charge of the CSRC proposed to study the appropriate extension of the trading hours in the A-share market. This work involves a wide range and has a great influence. The Exchange is conducting in-depth research and demonstration in accordance with the unified deployment of the CSRC. In addition, the relevant person in charge answered the reporter’s question in the early stage and made it clear that the time for T+0 trading in the A-share market at this stage is not mature.
3. Zhejiang Guoxiang IPO Sudden Brake Shanghai Stock Exchange will carry out special verification.
Near the subscription date, Zhejiang Guoxiang (603361)IPO pressed the pause button. The Shanghai Stock Exchange also paid close attention to this matter, saying that it would conduct a special inspection on Zhejiang Guoxiang. On the evening of October 7, Zhejiang Guoxiang announced that due to relevant media reports, in order to effectively protect the interests of investors, the issuer and the lead underwriter decided to suspend the follow-up issuance work until the relevant matters were verified and clarified. The estimated issuance schedule disclosed in the original Announcement on Issuance Arrangements and Preliminary Inquiry will be adjusted. Zhejiang Guoxiang was originally scheduled to purchase on October 9th (T-day) after the National Day. In answering a reporter’s question, the Shanghai Stock Exchange said that recently, there have been media concerns about the existence of the same asset secondary listing and high issuance pricing in Zhejiang Guoxiang. In this regard, the Exchange said that it has paid attention to relevant reports. The relevant information reflected from the media has been paid attention to in the audit and a special inquiry has been made. At present, Zhejiang Guoxiang has suspended the IPO issuance process.
In April and September, the purchasing managers’ index of China’s manufacturing industry was 50.2%, up 0.5 percentage points from last month.
In September, the purchasing managers’ index (PMI) of China’s manufacturing industry was 50.2%, up by 0.5 percentage point from the previous month. After running below 50% for five consecutive months, it returned to the expansion range. At the same time, the index rose for four consecutive months, and the chain-on-chain increase rate continued to expand, indicating that the economic recovery situation is getting better. Among the 21 industries surveyed, the purchasing managers’ index of 11 industries is above the critical point, two more than last month, and the manufacturing boom has expanded.
5. China’s foreign exchange reserves in September were US$ 3,115.1 billion, down US$ 45 billion from the end of August.
According to the statistics of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, by the end of September 2023, China’s foreign exchange reserves stood at $3,115.1 billion, down by $45 billion or 1.42% from the end of August. In September 2023, influenced by the monetary policies and expectations of major economies, macroeconomic data and other factors, the US dollar index rose and the global financial asset prices generally fell. The scale of foreign exchange reserves decreased in the month due to the combined effects of exchange rate conversion and asset price changes. The overall recovery of China’s economy is improving, and the solid progress of high-quality development is conducive to the continued stability of the scale of foreign exchange reserves.
6. Many data of long holiday travel have exceeded that before the epidemic.
According to the Ministry of Culture and Tourism, during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holidays in 2023, the cultural and tourism industries recovered strongly, and the national holiday market was stable and orderly. According to the data center of the Ministry of Culture and Tourism, during the eight-day Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holiday, the number of domestic tourists was 826 million, an increase of 71.3% year-on-year according to comparable caliber, and an increase of 4.1% compared with 2019 according to comparable caliber; Domestic tourism revenue reached 753.43 billion yuan, up 129.5% year-on-year according to comparable caliber, and up 1.5% compared with 2019 according to comparable caliber.
7. Passenger Association: It is estimated that the wholesale sales volume of new energy passenger car manufacturers in September will be 830,000, a year-on-year increase of 23%.
The Federation comprehensively estimated that the wholesale sales volume of new energy passenger car manufacturers in September was 830,000, a year-on-year increase of 23% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4%. According to preliminary estimates, from January to September this year, 5.92 million vehicles were wholesale, up 36% year-on-year. The Federation predicts that in 2023, the sales volume of new energy passenger cars in China will be 8.5 million, and the sales volume of narrow sense passenger cars will be 23.5 million. The annual penetration rate of new energy vehicles is expected to reach 36%. The current operation state is basically consistent with the forecast.
8. State Administration of Taxation: Departments in charge of official vehicles at all levels should increase the use of new energy vehicles.
From September 26th to 27th, the State Administration of Taxation held a site meeting on the promotion of new energy vehicles and a national symposium on the management of official vehicles in xiong’an new area, Hebei. The meeting stressed that the competent departments of official vehicles at all levels should fully implement the policy requirements for the promotion of new energy vehicles, strengthen coordination with relevant industry authorities, improve supporting measures, and increase the use of new energy vehicles. It is necessary to pay attention to local conditions and classify policies, better coordinate geographical location, power types, urban-rural differences, and vehicle use, and actively and steadily promote the use of new energy vehicles.
9. National Film Bureau: National Day box office was 2.734 billion yuan.
According to the statistics of the National Film Bureau, the total box office of National Day movies in 2023 (from September 29th to October 6th) was 2.734 billion yuan, with 65.1 million people watching movies, and the domestic movie box office was 2.618 billion yuan, accounting for 95.78% of the market. The top five movies in the National Day box office were: Rock Solid, 883 million yuan, and Ex-4: Early Marriage, 6.
10. IATA: In August, air cargo demand increased year-on-year for the first time in 19 months.
On October 8, IATA’s regular data on the global air cargo market in August 2023 showed that the air cargo demand increased year-on-year for the first time in 19 months, with an increase of 1.5% compared with August 2022 according to the freight ton-km. The transportation capacity increased by 12.2% compared with August 2022. The strong growth of transportation capacity is attributed to the 30% year-on-year increase of abdominal cabin transportation capacity. Willie Walsh, president of IATA, said that PMI data is developing in a positive direction, and this signal is even more optimistic as it enters the traditional year-end peak season of air cargo.
11. Shenzhen: By 2025, the proportion of new energy and clean energy power vehicles will reach about 60%.
Shenzhen Municipal People’s Government issued the implementation plan of Shenzhen peak carbon dioxide emissions. Among them, it is proposed to promote the low-carbon transformation of transportation equipment. By 2025, the proportion of new energy and clean energy vehicles will reach about 60%, the number of new energy vehicles in the city will reach about 1.3 million, the number of LNG vehicles will reach more than 20,000, and the number of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles will reach about 2,000. By 2030, the proportion of new energy and clean energy vehicles will reach about 70%, and the number of new energy vehicles in the city will reach about 2 million.
12. Tesla reduces the price of some models in the United States.
On October 6th, Tesla official website showed that Tesla reduced the price of some models in the United States, the price of Model 3 in the United States dropped from $40,240 to $38,990, and the price of Model Y long-life version in the United States dropped from $50,490 to $48,490.
13. Sudden change in the Middle East! The largest armed conflict broke out between Palestine and Israel in years.
On October 7th, local time, the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) announced that it would launch a military operation against Israel. It not only fired thousands of rockets, but also its armed personnel entered Israel and clashed with the Israeli army. The Israeli army responded by launching several rounds of air strikes in the Gaza.
14. The US non-farm payrolls data in September far exceeded expectations.
On October 6th, the U.S. Department of Labor announced the changes of non-agricultural employment population and unemployment rate data in September. In September, the number of non-farm employees in the United States increased by 336,000, a sharp increase from the expected 170,000, much higher than the 187,000 in August. This latest data undoubtedly shows the strength of the labor market in the United States, and the number of non-agricultural new jobs exceeding 300,000 is beyond the expectations of all Wall Street institutions. Previously, among large financial institutions, Citigroup gave the highest non-agricultural expectations, but it only added 240,000 people. Investors have more reason to believe that the Fed will maintain high interest rates and even raise interest rates further in the face of high inflation.
15. Major market performance during the long holiday: China’s assets generally rose and international oil prices dropped sharply.
During the A-share holiday, the overseas market represented by the interest rate of US bonds fluctuated obviously, and the global stock market remained volatile as a whole. At the same time, the US dollar index strengthened and the international oil price dropped sharply.
In terms of China’s assets, Hang Seng Index rose by 0.65%, Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 1.01%, Nasdaq China Jinlong Index rose by 0.34%, and A50 Index rose by 0.19%.
In terms of US stocks, the Nasdaq rose 1.74%, the S&P 500 rose 0.2% and the Dow fell 0.77%. In terms of European stocks, Germany’s DAX30 index fell 0.61%, France’s CAC40 index fell 0.79%, and Britain’s FTSE 100 index fell 1.41%. In the Asia-Pacific stock market, the Korean Composite Index fell by 2.29% and the Nikkei 225 Index fell by 2.75%.
In terms of commodities, gold and oil all showed a correction. London gold has been falling for nine trading days since September 25th. During the long holiday, it has fallen by about 2%, and COMEX gold has fallen by 1.84%. In terms of crude oil, NYMEX crude oil fell by 9.8% and ICE oil distribution fell by 9.31%.
16. The Beijing Stock Exchange revised the relevant guidelines and promoted the transfer in a safe and orderly manner.
On October 8, after soliciting opinions from all parties in the market, the Beijing Stock Exchange revised and issued the "Guidelines for Continuous Supervision of Listed Companies of Beijing Stock Exchange No.7-Transfer of Board" (hereinafter referred to as the "Guidelines for Transfer of Board"). According to the experts interviewed, with the official release of the "Transfer Guidelines" of the North Stock Exchange, the transfer listing of the North Stock Exchange will soon enter the practical stage, or it will promote the valuation repair of listed companies in the North Stock Exchange, enhance the liquidity of the secondary market of the North Stock Exchange, and attract more high-quality companies to go public in the North Stock Exchange. The North Stock Exchange said that the transfer mechanism involves the coordinated development of multi-level capital markets. This revision of the Guidelines for Transfer attaches great importance to the protection of investors’ rights and interests, and strives to form an orderly, standardized and normalized transfer arrangement.
Theme opportunity
1. Ask the new M7 to set a new high in a single day. The supply chain is expected to benefit.
According to the official news, the new M7 model of AITO has set a new one-day record during the Mid-Autumn National Day holiday. According to the latest official data, the car reached a "record high" on October 6, with a large number of 7000 vehicles. Since the car was officially listed, the cumulative number of large orders has exceeded 40,000. According to public information, the new M7 in Wenjie is equipped with Huawei ADS 2.0 advanced intelligent driving system, which can realize high-speed and urban intelligent driving without relying on high-precision maps. The new car is equipped with 27 sensing hardware, including 1 overhead lidar, 3 millimeter-wave radars, 11 high-definition visual sensing cameras and 12 ultrasonic radars, which supports parking service and ultra-narrow parking spaces in the park. In 2023, the sales volume of the world was less than expected for a long time, and the new M7 exceeded expectations to raise the market heat. There is room for exceeding expectations in the future, and related supply chains are expected to benefit. Related companies include Demais, Mingke Jingji and so on.
2, artificial intelligence chip track fiery giants set out to launch self-developed products.
According to foreign media reports, Microsoft plans to launch the first chip specially designed to support artificial intelligence (AI) at the Microsoft Ignite conference held in Seattle on November 14th. At the same time, OpenAI, the developer behind ChatGPT, which exploded this year, is exploring the manufacture of its own artificial intelligence (AI) chip and has begun to evaluate a potential acquisition target. It is also known that Amazon and Google have strategically integrated their artificial intelligence chips into their cloud business promotion activities. The analysis pointed out that this wave of AI was set off by ChatGPT, which triggered Chinese and foreign scientific and technological enterprises to pursue big language models and generative AI and an arms race for computing power. With the emergence of more complex and multivariate models, AI chips with high computing power will fully benefit. At present, although the popularity of generative AI and big models has cooled down compared with the beginning of the year, NVIDIA and other giants have given strong performance and future guidance, indicating that the industry is still investing more in the AI field on a large scale and is optimistic about the long-term development trend of AI. Related companies include Tongfu Microelectronics and Haiguang Information.
3. Huawei’s fully liquid-cooled overcharge station went online.
On October 4th, Huawei officially announced that the fully liquid-cooled overcharge station built by Huawei Digital Energy was officially launched in the southern Sichuan-Tibet line and along Litang and Aden highways, with a maximum output of 600kW and a maximum current of 600A, which is known as "one kilometer per second". The success rate of one-time charging is as high as 99%, and the charging range of 200-1000V matches all models, including passenger cars such as Tesla, Tucki, Ideality and commercial vehicles such as Cargo Lala. Liquid-cooled overcharge technology is based on the traditional air cooling technology, which introduces liquid cooling module to realize efficient heat dissipation and temperature control of equipment. At present, domestic brand car companies Weilai (500kW ultra-fast charging), Tucki (480kW single pile), Beiqi (480kW) and FAW (350kW) have all been overcharged, and liquid cooling technology has also become the technical layout direction of overcharge stations. Huaxi Securities said that the feedback of Huawei’s intelligent and electrified layout is good, which is expected to enhance the acceptance of smart platforms, liquid-cooled overcharges and other technologies by domestic consumers.
Company news
1. Evergrande Motor Co., Ltd.: Trading in the company’s shares will resume at 9: 00 am on October 9.
Evergrande Automobile: The company has applied to the Stock Exchange to resume trading in the company’s shares from 9: 00 am on October 9, 2023.
2. North Rare Earth: The transaction price of rare earth concentrate in the fourth quarter was adjusted to 20,536 yuan/ton excluding tax.
North Rare Earth (600111) announced on the evening of October 8, according to the pricing method of rare earth concentrate and the price of rare earth oxide in the third quarter of 2023, the transaction price of rare earth concentrate in the fourth quarter of 2023 was adjusted to 20536 yuan/ton (dry weight, REO=50%) without tax after calculation and approval by the general manager’s office, and the price without tax was increased or decreased by 410.72 yuan for every 1% increase or decrease in REO. The company will re-sign the Rare Earth Concentrate Supply Contract with Baotou Steel, and carry out related transactions of rare earth concentrates according to the newly signed contract.
3. Huayi Brothers: The operating income from "Previous 4: Early Marriage" is about 73.49 million to 95.45 million.
Huayi Brothers (300027) announced on the evening of October 8 that the film "Ex-4: Early Marriage" directed by its subsidiary was released in Chinese mainland on September 28, 2023. According to the data of the National Film Office, as of 24: 00 on October 6, 2023, the film was released in Chinese mainland for 9 days, and the cumulative box office income (that is, the cumulative total box office of the film) was about RMB 710 million (the final settlement data may be slightly wrong), which exceeded 50% of the operating income of the company’s audited consolidated financial statements in the latest fiscal year. As of October 6, 2023, the company’s operating income from the film was about 73.4882 million yuan to 95.4502 million yuan (there may be errors in the final settlement data). At present, the film is still in release.
4. China Eastern Airlines: It plans to purchase 100 C919 aircraft from Comac.
China Eastern Airlines (600115) announced on the evening of September 28th that the company signed the C919 Aircraft Purchase and Sale Agreement with Commercial Aircraft Corporation of China (hereinafter referred to as "Comac") and purchased 100 C919 aircraft from Comac. According to the central parity exchange rate of RMB against the US dollar (1 US dollar to 7.1798 RMB) announced by the People’s Bank of China on the signing date of this transaction agreement, the catalog price of 100 C919 aircraft purchased this time is about 71.08 billion RMB. The above 100 aircraft are scheduled to be delivered to the company in batches from 2024 to 2031.
5. Lotus Health: Xinhua San Information plans to deliver 330 NVIDIA H800GPU series computing servers to Lianhua Kechuang.
Lotus Health (600186) announced on the evening of September 28th that Lotus Kechuang, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the company, signed the Purchase Contract with Xinhua San Information, a subsidiary of Xinhua San Holdings, on September 27th. Both parties confirmed that under this purchase contract, Xinhua San Information delivered 330 NVIDIA H800GPU series computing servers (each server contains 8 GPUs) to Lianhua Kechuang, with a total contract price of 693 million yuan.
6. China Zhongmian Performance Express: The net profit in the first three quarters was 5.199 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.33%.
China Zhongmian (601888) disclosed the performance report on the evening of October 8: the net profit in the first three quarters was 5.199 billion yuan, up 12.33% year-on-year, and the revenue was 50.84 billion yuan, up 29.14% year-on-year. During the reporting period, the company paid attention to sustainability and pursued a balanced growth of scale and profit. In the first three quarters of 2023, the gross profit margin of the company’s main business continued to recover, which were 28.75%, 32.47% and 34.27% respectively.
7. Tomson Bianjian: The net profit in the first three quarters increased by 25% to 34%.
Tomson Bianjian (300146) announced on the evening of October 8 that the net profit in the first three quarters is expected to be 1.849 billion yuan to 1.979 billion yuan, an increase of 24.77% to 33.55% over the same period of last year. Benefiting from the increase in market demand for many categories of products brought about by the improvement of national health awareness, the company’s domestic and overseas income achieved rapid growth in the first three quarters.
8. Sunrise in the East: The estimated net profit in the first three quarters is 1.2 billion-1.38 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 61%-85%.
Oriental Risheng (300118) released its performance forecast on the evening of September 28th, and it is expected to achieve a profit of RMB 1.2 billion-RMB 1.38 billion in the first three quarters of 2023, an increase of 60.56%-84.65% year-on-year. Benefiting from the expansion of the company’s module production capacity, the increase of the scale of self-supplied batteries and the stabilization of the price of photovoltaic upstream supply chain, compared with the same period of last year, the sales volume of photovoltaic module products of the company increased, the sales gross margin increased, and the corresponding sales profit increased. In addition, this period, the company’s overseas battery component production base began to ship stably, which also had a positive impact on the company’s operating performance.
9. BYD: The sales volume in September was 287,500 units.
BYD (002594) announced on the evening of October 8 that it sold 287,500 vehicles in September, compared with 201,300 vehicles in the same period last year; In September, a total of 28,039 new energy passenger cars were sold overseas. In September, the total installed capacity of power batteries and energy storage batteries of new energy vehicles was about 14.348GWh, and the cumulative installed capacity in 2023 was about 100.931GWh.
10. Zhongding Co., Ltd.: Obtained the project designation of air suspension system products.
Zhongding Co., Ltd. (000887) announced on the evening of October 8 that AMK, a subsidiary company, has become a batch supplier of air supply unit assembly products for air suspension system of a new platform project of a head new energy brand main engine factory in China. The life cycle of this project is 5 years, and the total amount of life cycle is about 1.64 billion yuan.
11. China Chemical: The subsidiary signed a general contract of about 65.05 billion yuan for the chemical complex project of methanol from natural gas.
China Chemical (601117) announced on the evening of October 8 that recently, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the company signed a general contract with Russian Baltic Methanol Co., Ltd. for the chemical complex project of methanol from natural gas. The duration of this contract is 48 months, and the total contract amount is 8.4 billion euros, equivalent to about 65.05 billion yuan.
12. Xu Ji Electric: Pre-bid for the Fifth Equipment Bidding Procurement of State Grid UHV Project.
Xu Ji Electric (000400) announced on the evening of October 8 that the company had won the bid for the fifth equipment bidding procurement of the State Grid UHV project in advance, with an estimated bid amount of 611 million yuan.
13. Commodity City: Signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement with People’s Data, a platform of People’s Daily Online.
Commodity City (600415) announced on the evening of October 8 that the company signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement with People’s Data, a platform of People’s Daily Online, to carry out all-round and multi-level cooperation in data confirmation, data storage, data empowerment and data operation, and establish a long-term, stable and efficient communication mechanism to jointly create a trade data ecosystem.
calendar of finance and economics
Editor: Zhang Qian
Proofreading: Yao Yuan
These, users are watching.
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Second listing of the same asset? Suspend the issuance process, special inspection!
Will A shares extend trading hours after the holiday? The Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges just responded!
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